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DEPTH4 tracks macro stories that may move markets before the market has fully priced them in. It reads relevant news continuously, groups related developments into a live thesis, and updates that thesis as new evidence comes in.

A thesis is not a single headline. It is a live market view such as:

• Peace deal probability is rising, so gold may fall.
• OPEC unity is weakening, so oil may come under pressure.
• A Fed pivot is being delayed, so bond prices may stay weak.

DEPTH4 is built to help you answer four questions on one screen:

• Why now?
• What is the market missing?
• What is the trigger?
• What is the trade?

The news is the fuel. The thesis is the product.

Start on the Theses page. This is the main view of the product.

Each live thesis shows:

• The thesis name
• The asset it affects
• The current probability (confidence level)
• Whether the setup is Ready (entry conditions valid or close)
• What changed recently
• The current trade idea

Click a thesis to open the full thesis view.

Inside a thesis, focus on these sections first:

• Why now: why the opportunity matters now
• What the market hasn't priced in yet: what the market may still be missing
• Trigger: what needs to happen before conviction rises
• Trade: the current entry, stop-loss, and target idea
• Invalidation: what would weaken or break the thesis

If those five areas are clear, you can understand the trade quickly.

A DEPTH4 thesis is a live object, not a fixed opinion.

Each thesis includes:

• A thesis statement
• A probability score
• A list of relevant events
• A current status
• A trade plan
• An invalidation condition

The probability score changes as new information comes in. That does not mean DEPTH4 is predicting the future with certainty. It means the system is tracking whether the evidence is getting stronger or weaker over time.

Thesis states

• Forming: early idea; still taking shape
• Watching: important, but not ready yet
• Ready: entry/setup conditions are valid or close enough to act on (entry setup valid)
• Active: you have an open position linked to this thesis (position open)
• Resolved: the thesis played out
• Invalidated: the thesis no longer holds

What it is

The Insider Flow Detector watches for unusual price and volume moves in the instruments tied to your thesis scenarios. When the market is moving as if your thesis is leaking — but no public headline has confirmed it yet — DEPTH4 flags it and updates scenario probabilities.

How it works

• You configure bull-case and bear-case instruments when creating a thesis (or let the AI suggest them).
• DEPTH4 monitors those instruments every 5 minutes.
• If returns move beyond normal volatility and volume spikes, a flow anomaly is detected.
• If the move matches a scenario but no matching confirm headline exists yet, it is labeled an unconfirmed leak.
• Scenario probabilities adjust based on signal strength.
• If you have starred the thesis, you get a bell notification.

What you’ll see

• Radar icon in the top bar (grey / teal / amber).
• Anomaly card in the Insider Flow panel.
• Updated scenario probabilities (suggested or auto-applied, depending on tier).
• Evidence log style entry:
  Insider flow detected: TLT −3.2%, 5× volume → Bear case +15pts

Example walkthrough

What tier do I need?

• Free: indicator only (an anomaly occurred in the last 24h).
• Analyst: full 7-day log, probability suggestions you approve manually.
• Pro: real-time alerts, automatic probability updates.

Legal disclaimer

The Insider Flow Detector identifies unusual market activity that may precede news. It does not detect illegal insider trading, provide investment advice, or guarantee that detected patterns will be confirmed by headlines. Use it as one input among many in your trading decisions.

The main mistake most traders make is trading the headline instead of the narrative.

DEPTH4 is built to help you follow the full story. A single headline may not matter much on its own. But several related headlines over days or weeks can build a much stronger case.

A simple way to use DEPTH4 well

A good example is a thesis like: Rising peace odds may push gold lower.

This thesis is not based on one article. It develops over time through many related events, such as:

• Ceasefire rumors
• Prisoner exchanges
• Confirmed meetings
• Softer rhetoric
• Signals of flexibility from key parties

Any one of those may look minor on its own. Together, they can change the odds in a meaningful way.

How the thesis works in practice

1. DEPTH4 detects a pattern of improving diplomacy.
2. The thesis probability rises.
3. A trigger is crossed, such as a confirmed meeting.
4. The system marks the thesis as Ready.
5. You wait for the price setup, not just the news.
6. Once in the trade, DEPTH4 keeps updating the thesis as new developments appear.
7. If the thesis strengthens, you may hold.
8. If it weakens, you may reduce risk or exit.

DEPTH4 has two main views: Feed and Theses.

• Feed: the raw sensing layer. It shows what happened.
• Theses: the decision layer. It shows what the news may mean for a trade.

In simple terms:

Most users should spend most of their time in Theses, not Feed.

You can create a thesis manually when you see a macro story the market may be misreading.

A good user-created thesis should include:

• One clear sentence about the idea
• The asset it affects
• Why the market may be wrong or early
• What event would strengthen the view
• What would invalidate it
• The time horizon

Good format

Keep the thesis simple. If you need three paragraphs to explain it, it is probably too vague.

The advisory feed is different from the raw news feed.

It is a filtered stream of updates that matter to your live theses or open positions. Instead of showing every headline, it tells you what changed, whether it helps or hurts the thesis, how probability moved, and what the current stance is.

Examples

The goal is not more information. The goal is better decisions.

DEPTH4 is not:

• A generic news terminal
• A broker
• A guarantee of profit
• A replacement for your own judgment

It is also not built to turn every headline into a trade. In many cases, the right answer will be to wait. That is a feature, not a weakness.

DEPTH4 can help you organize thinking, monitor narratives, and react faster to important changes. It cannot remove market risk.

Important limits

• AI analysis can be wrong.
• News can be incomplete or misleading.
• Market reactions can be delayed, muted, or opposite to what seems logical.
• A good thesis can still lose money if timing is bad.
• A correct narrative does not always produce a good trade.

Use risk management. Use stop-losses. Size positions carefully. Never trade based only on one screen.

DEPTH4 provides analysis and tools for thinking about markets. It does not provide personalized investment advice. You are responsible for your own decisions and risk.

For full legal terms, see our Terms of Use, Privacy Policy, and Risk Disclosure.